|
Mesoscale Discussion 1038 |
< Previous MD Next MD >
|
|
Mesoscale Discussion 1038
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1013 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024
Areas affected...northwest OK into adjacent southwest KS
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 281513Z - 281645Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...Isolated hail to around 1.75 inches diameter is possible
the next 1-2 hours across northwest Oklahoma into adjacent southwest
Kansas.
DISCUSSION...Elevated thunderstorms have developed this morning in
an area of low-level east/southeasterly flow beneath upper northwest
flow. Very steep midlevel lapse rates are supporting modest
instability. VWP data from KVNX shows elongated hodographs above 2-3
km amid deeper shear supporting transient supercells. This activity
will be capable of producing severe hail to near 1.75 inches over
the next 1-2 hours. With southward extent, overnight convection and
outflow has modified the airmass into parts of southwest and central
OK. The expectation is that this cluster of storms should gradually
decrease in intensity with southeast extent over the next couple of
hours. Trends will be monitored but watch issuance is not currently
expected.
..Leitman/Hart.. 05/28/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...AMA...
LAT...LON 37120086 37370057 37379996 37059909 36649837 36389809
36029812 35759826 35679865 35739918 36029977 36610029
36890069 37120086
|
Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
|
|