Mesoscale Discussion 0337
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1232 AM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024

   Areas affected...southeast Oklahoma into western Arkansas and
   northeast Texas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 70...

   Valid 020532Z - 020700Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 70
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Isolated strong to severe storms may sporadically produce
   hail and locally damaging gusts in the short term. Overall risk is
   expected to diminish with time and eastward extent overnight.

   DISCUSSION...A line of convection will continue to shift
   east/northeast across parts of northwest AR the next few hours. More
   isolated convection is expected with southward extent along an
   eastward-advancing cold front across southeast OK into northeast TX
   and southwest AR. Low-level shear has increased considerably tonight
   across AR as is evident in KSRX and KLZK VWPs. This typically would
   support organized severe convection. However, the thermodynamic
   environment will be marginal for maintenance of robust convection.
   Capping and increasing low-level inhibition will preclude
   surface-based storms the remainder of the night. While sporadic
   strong to severe storms may result in hail and locally strong gusts
   in the short-term, the overall risk is expected to diminish with
   time and eastward extent. As such, a new watch is not currently
   expected downstream from WW 70. However a local temporal extension
   may be needed.

   ..Leitman.. 04/02/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...

   LAT...LON   35969276 33379374 33049422 32859511 32859570 32979631
               33379642 33999634 35319554 36349439 36499417 36509307
               35969276