|
Mesoscale Discussion 296 |
< Previous MD Next MD >
|
|
Mesoscale Discussion 0296
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0605 PM CDT Sun Mar 24 2024
Areas affected...Northwest Kansas...Southern Nebraska
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible
Valid 242305Z - 250130Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent
SUMMARY...Isolated severe threat will likely continue across parts
of northwest Kansas and southern Nebraska. Isolated large hail and a
few strong wind gusts will be possible. Weather watch issuance
remains possible, although the severe threat is only expected to
persist for a few more hours.
DISCUSSION...The latest surface analysis shows a 987 mb low over far
southwest Kansas, with an inverted surface trough extending
north-northeastward from northwest Kansas into central Nebraska.
Several linear-based storms are ongoing near the trough. In spite of
surface dewpoints only in the mid to upper 40s F, the RAP has 500 to
750 J/kg of MLCAPE. The last WSR-88D VWP at Hastings has 30-35 knots
of 0-6 km shear, and veering of the winds with height in the lowest
2 km. This should be enough to continue an isolated severe threat.
Isolated large hail could occur with strongest of updrafts, along
with a few marginally severe wind gusts. Also, a potential for a
landspout tornado could continue along and near the eastern edge of
the convection.
..Broyles/Guyer.. 03/24/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...GID...DDC...GLD...
LAT...LON 39249893 39899845 40489821 40769837 40919888 40919931
40839961 40609986 40409998 39800040 39470051 39210036
39099993 39079945 39249893
|
Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
|
|