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Mesoscale Discussion 233 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 0233
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0302 PM CDT Sun Mar 16 2025
Areas affected...central New York
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 55...
Valid 162002Z - 162130Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 55
continues.
SUMMARY...The damaging wind gusts will persist for a few more hours
across central New York before the threat wanes.
DISCUSSION...A well-developed line of storms has produced numerous
reports of damaging wind gusts and some measured severe wind gusts
across western/central Pennsylvania and western New York. Some weak
instability remains across central New York which may be sufficient
to sustain these storms for a few more hours. Synoptic winds are
gusting to 35-40 knots ahead of this line of storms and an 85 knot
low-level jet is present on the BGM VWP around 2km. Therefore any
surface based convection will likely have the potential for severe
wind gusts this afternoon. Cloud cover is extensive ahead of this
line of storms and the boundary layer will start to cool in the next
1 to 2 hours. Therefore, this line of storms is probably past its
peak and should start to weaken in the next 1 to 2 hours. Severe
thunderstorm watch 55 has been expanded ahead of these storms to
cover this threat for that time period. While some local extensions
of watch 55 may be necessary, no downstream watch is anticipated.
..Bentley/Gleason.. 03/16/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...ALY...BGM...BUF...CTP...
LAT...LON 42307415 41967504 41907614 41977696 42387734 42877744
43327738 43397701 43457658 43617642 43647609 43657527
43547461 42987427 42307415
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