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Mesoscale Discussion 973
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0973
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1120 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024

   Areas affected...portions of eastern Indiana...northeastern
   Kentucky...western and central OH...western West Virginia

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely 

   Valid 261620Z - 261745Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

   SUMMARY...The severe threat is increasing across portions of the OH
   Valley ahead of ongoing storms. Damaging gusts appear to be the main
   threat, though a couple of QLCS tornadoes are also possible. A WW
   issuance will be needed in the next hour or so.

   DISCUSSION...A QLCS, with a recent history of damaging gusts,
   continues to progress eastward toward a destabilizing airmass.
   Surface temperatures are warming to over 80 F amid upper 60s F
   dewpoints, boosting MLCAPE to 2000 J/kg in spots. In additions,
   40-50 kts of effective bulk shear are in place, with the shear
   vectors oriented roughly normal to the eastward progressing QLCS. As
   such, damaging gusts (some exceeding severe limits) should accompany
   this QLCS downstream, and a couple of line-embedded tornadoes also
   cannot be ruled out. A WW issuance will be needed in the next hour
   or two to address the impending severe threat.

   ..Squitieri/Bunting.. 05/26/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...CLE...JKL...ILN...LMK...IWX...IND...

   LAT...LON   38248510 39428609 40248629 41548525 41638388 40778202
               39358135 38288168 37988229 38098342 38248510 

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Page last modified: May 26, 2024
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