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Mesoscale Discussion 749
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0749
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0632 PM CDT Fri May 10 2024

   Areas affected...portions of eastern Minnesota into western and
   central Wisconsin

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 102332Z - 110030Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...A severe gust or two may accompany the stronger storms
   until around sunset. A WW issuance is not expected.

   DISCUSSION...Multiple low-topped, high based thunderstorms have
   percolated in intensity behind the surface cold front over the past
   few hours, and these storms continue to move southeast atop a
   dry/mixed boundary layer. 23Z mesoanalysis shows 8.5+ C/km 0-3 km
   lapse rates preceding the storms, which may foster adequate
   evaporative cooling beneath the stronger storm cores to support a
   couple of damaging gusts until around sunset. However, since the
   severe risk is expected to be sparse, a WW issuance is not
   anticipated.

   ..Squitieri/Hart.. 05/10/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...GRB...MKX...DLH...ARX...MPX...

   LAT...LON   46969257 45178984 43678921 42909002 42899091 43429206
               44349330 45229410 45859432 46469414 46969257 

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