Mesoscale Discussion 0565
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0650 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024

   Areas affected...Northeast Oklahoma...Northwestern Arkansas...and
   Southwestern Missouri

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 159...

   Valid 282350Z - 290045Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 159 continues.

   SUMMARY...Tornado threat continues in WW159. Corridor of more
   favorable  surface winds may support risk of a tornado.

   DISCUSSION...Recent surface observations indicate winds across
   northwestern Arkansas into southwestern Missouri are backing as
   convection approaches from the south and west. This southeasterly
   component has not handled well by recent RAP analysis data, which
   may indicate low-level shear is more favorable across this corridor
   than indicated in recent guidance. The VAD profile from KSRX (Fort
   Smith WSR-88D) shows around 250-300 m2/s2 0-1km SRH.  This area may
   be a focused zone of potential for a tornado in the short term.

   ..Thornton/Smith.. 04/28/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...SGF...TSA...

   LAT...LON   35799375 35519434 35489468 35479497 35509544 35619566
               35859568 36089554 36249541 36569509 36789472 36899431
               36909392 36839371 36579365 36309362 36089367 35799375