Mesoscale Discussion 0365
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0416 AM CDT Wed Apr 03 2024

   Areas affected...Florida Panhandle into far southern GA

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

   Valid 030916Z - 031045Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

   SUMMARY...Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms will move onshore
   across the Florida Panhandle and spread east through the morning.
   Some severe risk may accompany this activity and area is being
   monitored for possible watch issuance.

   DISCUSSION...Convection just offshore the Florida Panhandle has
   strengthened and become somewhat better organized over the past 1-2
   hours. This activity will move inland and shift east/northeast
   through the early morning. The 06z TLH RAOB showed substantial
   capping around 700 mb. However, forecast soundings indicated an
   eroding cap as large-scale ascent overspreads the area. Strong
   vertical shear with enlarged and curved low-level hodographs remains
   apparent in regional VWP data. While instability will be greatest
   near the coast, sufficient instability extends northward into
   southern GA to maintain organized convection. Locally damaging gusts
   and a tornado or two may be possible across the MCD area and a watch
   may be considered within the hour.

   ..Leitman/Smith.. 04/03/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...

   LAT...LON   30298615 30868490 31048368 30908314 30388297 29958304
               29198378 29248497 29398577 29488642 29678662 30298615