Mesoscale Discussion 0877
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0603 PM CDT Fri May 26 2023

   Areas affected...eastern New Mexico into west Texas

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 241...

   Valid 262303Z - 270200Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 241 continues.

   SUMMARY...Corridors of severe potential are forecast to develop
   through this evening. Damaging hail and wind, as well as a couple
   tornadoes will be possible.

   DISCUSSION...As of 23Z, several widely spaced areas of storms
   extended from east-central NM southward toward the Davis Mtns, with
   large hail the primary threat. While these storms are relatively far
   apart, visible imagery and surface analysis show a wide area of
   potential with a moist, unstable air mass in place. 

   A notable supercell over eastern Torrance County, NM will likely
   remain severe as it moves east/southeast this evening. MLCAPE is
   over 2000 J/kg in this area, with instability evidenced by towering
   cumulus downstream. Damaging hail will remain likely, with
   wind-driven hail possible if the storm grows/intensifies this
   evening.

   Other cells are attempting to develop into Eddy County NM, with a
   substantial cumulus field noted, extending northwestward from
   Roswell westward to the Sacramentos. Any cells that develop in this
   region will have a very favorable environment for severe hail and
   wind as they proceed east/southeast toward the Midland TX area.
   Southeasterly low-level winds will maximize storm relative inflow
   aiding storm longevity. Low-level shear will also be sufficient for
   a couple tornadoes, especially for deviant/rightward motion off the
   hodograph.

   ..Jewell.. 05/26/2023

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...SJT...LUB...MAF...ABQ...EPZ...

   LAT...LON   29990327 30270410 30720443 32140527 32760539 33340557
               34050569 34320565 34530552 34790529 34940499 35000443
               34960395 34630332 34080278 33440231 32880208 32330188
               31440172 30730162 30310179 30000216 29990327