Mesoscale Discussion 0860
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0842 PM CDT Wed May 24 2023

   Areas affected...eastern New Mexico and northwest Texas

   Concerning...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely 

   Valid 250142Z - 250315Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent

   SUMMARY...Severe threat to continue over the next few hours. New
   watch issuance need by 03z.

   DISCUSSION...A broken line of storms continues to move south and
   east across the New Mexico/Texas border. The strongest portion of
   this line was located near Curry County, where reports of 2 inch
   hail and gusts up to 90 mph have been reported, along with
   tornadoes. Trends in WoFs runs continue to show this portion of the
   line maintaining intensity and continuing to track southward through
   the evening. The rest of the broken line will continue to advance
   south and eastward through the evening as well. Along and ahead of
   this line, effective shear around 40-50kts and MLCAPE around
   1000-2000 J/kg will support continued embedded supercell hybrids
   with potential for damaging winds and large hail. Given these
   trends, a new watch will be needed by 03z.

   ..Thornton/Edwards.. 05/25/2023

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...MAF...ABQ...

   LAT...LON   35540249 36190237 36280213 36270177 36240145 36180096
               35990076 35710068 35370064 35030063 34170063 33670070
               33380070 33130076 33010081 32970099 32930143 32980198
               32930270 32960350 33040377 33170391 33370398 33700396
               33930398 34030398 34180398 34280399 34320399 34410392
               34500352 34530310 34890254 35540249