ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 240215 
SPC MCD 240215 
TXZ000-240415-

Mesoscale Discussion 0850
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0915 PM CDT Tue May 23 2023

Areas affected...northwest Texas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 234...

Valid 240215Z - 240415Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 234
continues.

SUMMARY...Damaging-wind and large-hail threat continues within
WW234. Damaging wind threat increasing.

DISCUSSION...Recent radar imagery depicts a bowing line of storms
moving east-southeastward across portions of northwest Texas. Ahead
of this line, a cluster of semi-discrete cells have been ongoing,
with reports of hail up to 2 inches. A similar storm mode is ongoing
across the southern fringe of the line, with reports of hail as
large as 1.5-2 inches in the last hour. Expect the line to overtake
remaining semi-discrete cells within the next hour. 

Further radar analysis indicates a rear-inflow jet (around 60-70 kts
at 4-5 kft as noted by KDYX) is becoming established north and west
of Abilene. Potential for damaging winds is increasing as continued
upscale growth and propagation along the cold pool continues. Gusts
up to 70 mph will be likely (with isolated gusts up to 75 mph).

..Thornton/Edwards.. 05/24/2023

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF...

LAT...LON   31770118 31940159 32020177 32100191 32140202 32290202
            32270168 32330117 32470105 32840076 33350070 33670080
            33910124 34150110 34460054 34420007 34239936 34139912
            33839890 33639883 33279868 32959862 32599869 32359879
            32109889 31919908 31809926 31769948 31639971 31600003
            31570021 31580051 31610080 31690105 31770118 

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