ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 160030 
SPC MCD 160030 
LAZ000-ARZ000-TXZ000-160130-

Mesoscale Discussion 0536
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0730 PM CDT Sat Apr 15 2023

Areas affected...portions of far southern Arkansas into western
Louisiana and far eastern Texas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 140...141...

Valid 160030Z - 160130Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 140, 141
continues.

SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across Severe Thunderstorm
Watches 0140-0141, with large hail remaining as the primary threat.
A tornado remains possible, especially with an ongoing supercell
east of Shreveport.

DISCUSSION...Multiple multicell/supercell structures continue to
progress eastward across Severe Thunderstorm Watches 0140-0141 ahead
of the cold front. Several reports of severe hail (including stones
approaching 3 inches in diameter) have been received in the past
couple of hours, and MRMS mosaic MESH data suggests that large hail
(perhaps 2+ inch in spots) may be ongoing with some of the stronger
storms. Given ample buoyancy in place, large hail should continue
for at least a few more hours. A supercell in the Bienville Parish,
LA area has benefited from favorable interactions with residual
surface boundaries and cellular interactions, which have supported
the development of at least one tornado, and an additional tornado
remains possible over the next hour or so.

..Squitieri.. 04/16/2023

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LZK...LCH...SHV...HGX...EWX...

LAT...LON   29449548 29369627 29509677 29669697 30039673 30799551
            31989435 33139325 33429270 33239235 32439217 31479242
            30809274 30179365 29869451 29489540 29449548 

NNNN