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Mesoscale Discussion 1836 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1836
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0537 PM CDT Tue Sep 27 2022
Areas affected...southern Florida
Concerning...Tornado Watch 545...
Valid 272237Z - 280030Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 545 continues.
SUMMARY...The threat of supercells within the outer bands of Ian
will continue to pose a tornado risk through the evening.
DISCUSSION...A northwest-southeast oriented band of supercells
continues to translate north across southern FL, with periodic
strong rotation and brief tornadoes. These storms may eventually
encounter slightly lower boundary-layer theta-e as they gain
latitude. However, advection of upper 70s F to near 80 F dewpoints
will persist to the south, with slowly veering surface winds.
Deep-layer effective shear is oriented quite favorably in relation
to the outer convective bands, with a large component across the
bands. This should aid supercellular storm mode, and the possibility
of rightward motions relative to the weaker echoes, maximizing SRH.
..Jewell.. 09/27/2022
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...MFL...KEY...
LAT...LON 24648220 24868136 25408065 25938023 25667986 24968019
24468098 24278194 24648220
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