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Mesoscale Discussion 1398 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1398
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0154 PM CDT Wed Jul 06 2022
Areas affected...Northern Kentucky...far southwest Ohio...western
West Virginia
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 442...
Valid 061854Z - 062100Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 442
continues.
SUMMARY...An organized linear segment will be the main focus for
strong to severe wind gusts this afternoon. A new watch for parts of
northern/eastern Kentucky will need to be considered for the
southern flank of this activity.
DISCUSSION...A linear segment of thunderstorms developed along the
surface/outflow boundary in southern Indiana. As it has progressed
toward the Cincinnati area, the TCVG TDWR velocity data showed
around 60 kts around 500-600 ft aloft. That area of stronger winds
produced a 58 mph gust at the Cincinnati airport. The airmass ahead
of this activity continues to destabilize as temperatures in eastern
Kentucky approach the mid 90s F and western West Virginia nears the
mid 80s F. Shear remains a modest 25-35 kts, but a better-developed
cold pool should aid in storm organization. The primary corridor of
wind damage potential will be with the linear segment moving
southeastward. The northern extent will likely be limited by outflow
produced from storms in central Ohio. While most of this activity
will remain in WW 442, it is possible that an additional watch will
be needed for parts of northern/eastern Kentucky for the southern
flank of the more organized linear segment.
..Wendt.. 07/06/2022
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...RLX...JKL...ILN...LMK...
LAT...LON 39718430 38928241 38128200 37708250 37818391 38408487
38678541 39718430
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