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Mesoscale Discussion 1398
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1398
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0154 PM CDT Wed Jul 06 2022

   Areas affected...Northern Kentucky...far southwest Ohio...western
   West Virginia

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 442...

   Valid 061854Z - 062100Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 442
   continues.

   SUMMARY...An organized linear segment will be the main focus for
   strong to severe wind gusts this afternoon. A new watch for parts of
   northern/eastern Kentucky will need to be considered for the
   southern flank of this activity.

   DISCUSSION...A linear segment of thunderstorms developed along the
   surface/outflow boundary in southern Indiana. As it has progressed
   toward the Cincinnati area, the TCVG TDWR velocity data showed
   around 60 kts around 500-600 ft aloft. That area of stronger winds
   produced a 58 mph gust at the Cincinnati airport. The airmass ahead
   of this activity continues to destabilize as temperatures in eastern
   Kentucky approach the mid 90s F and western West Virginia nears the
   mid 80s F. Shear remains a modest 25-35 kts, but a better-developed
   cold pool should aid in storm organization. The primary corridor of
   wind damage potential will be with the linear segment moving
   southeastward. The northern extent will likely be limited by outflow
   produced from storms in central Ohio. While most of this activity
   will remain in WW 442, it is possible that an additional watch will
   be needed for parts of northern/eastern Kentucky for the southern
   flank of the more organized linear segment.

   ..Wendt.. 07/06/2022

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...RLX...JKL...ILN...LMK...

   LAT...LON   39718430 38928241 38128200 37708250 37818391 38408487
               38678541 39718430 

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Page last modified: July 06, 2022
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