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Mesoscale Discussion 891 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 0891
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0711 PM CDT Mon May 23 2022
Areas affected...Northwest South Carolina into far southwest North
Carolina
Concerning...Tornado Watch 263...
Valid 240011Z - 240115Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 263 continues.
SUMMARY...The tornado potential will likely persist through 01 UTC
along the northern North Carolina/South Carolina border.
DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms continue to develop in the vicinity of
the post-tropical low over the western Carolinas. At least one
low-topped supercell has produced a tornado over the past hour
despite the early onset of diurnal cooling. A couple of other storms
within WW 263 have also shown signs of persistent mesocyclones over
the past 30 minutes, which suggests that the potential for a tornado
or two continues for the near term. Regional VWP observations
continue to show strong low-level helicity (upwards of 150-250 m2/s2
of 0-1 km SRH), and 1-2 F dewpoint depressions will limit the degree
of diurnal cooling over the next hour and maintain sufficient
instability for low-topped convection. The tornado threat will begin
to diminish more substantially as the surface low continues to move
north into a more stable air mass and diurnal cooling fosters
growing inhibition, but this will likely not occur until after 01
UTC.
..Moore.. 05/24/2022
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...CAE...GSP...
LAT...LON 34688207 35018213 35538185 35728145 35628096 35308079
34948107 34688122 34588140 34518163 34688207
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