Mesoscale Discussion 0872
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1257 PM CDT Sun May 22 2022

   Areas affected...portions of eastern Alabama into western Georgia

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 221757Z - 222000Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Damaging gust potential should continue with ongoing
   storms for a couple more hours. It is unclear how long the severe
   threat will continue into the afternoon and so a WW issuance is not
   currently expected.

   DISCUSSION...A mature tropical MCS continues to propagate northward
   across eastern AL/western GA at/over 40 kts with a history of strong
   to marginally severe wind gusts. Mid 80s F surface temperatures
   overspread by a well-mixed boundary layer have contributed to
   enhanced evaporative cooling potential, thus effectively
   strengthening cold pool intensity and forward propagation. Mid to
   upper 80s F surface temperatures exist along a Montgomery County AL
   to Laurens County GA line, but with temperatures decreasing into the
   lower 80s F farther north. While organized damaging gust potential
   should continue with this MCS for at least the next hour or so,
   organized severe potential remains unclear in the cooler pre-MCS
   surface airmass. As such, a WW issuance is not currently
   anticipated.

   ..Squitieri.. 05/22/2022

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...

   LAT...LON   31978688 33128642 33678584 34028502 33908439 33838387
               33538320 33178271 32678246 32318252 31988260 31748275
               31648286 31488309 31458345 31568387 31798432 32058498
               32098549 32108576 31978688