Mesoscale Discussion 0693
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1151 PM CDT Sun May 08 2022

   Areas affected...Parts of central/eastern ND

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 090451Z - 090645Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...A few strong storms are possible overnight, with isolated
   hail possible.

   DISCUSSION...Scattered strong storms are ongoing across parts of
   central/eastern ND at 0445Z, with a cluster northeast of Bismarck
   showing some modest signs of organization. This activity is ongoing
   within a plume of modest buoyancy (MUCAPE of 500-1000 J/kg), with
   sufficient effective shear to support some continued storm
   organization. With relatively cold temperatures aloft (around -20C
   at 500 mb), isolated hail is expected to be the primary threat,
   though a strong wind gust cannot be ruled out with any
   upscale-growing cluster. 

   Due to the relatively isolated and marginal nature of the threat,
   watch issuance is considered unlikely at this time.

   ..Dean/Thompson.. 05/09/2022

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...

   LAT...LON   46739721 46709726 46309764 46099959 47290008 47739965
               48179909 48199778 46739721