Mesoscale Discussion 0679
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0451 PM CDT Fri May 06 2022

   Areas affected...northern North Carolina into southern Virginia

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 187...

   Valid 062151Z - 062315Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 187 continues.

   SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across Tornado Watch 0187.
   Large hail and damaging gusts may accompany any of the more
   organized, longer lived storms. The best chance for tornadoes will
   be with the more dominant thunderstorms that can favorably interact
   with the warm front.

   DISCUSSION...Current surface observations depict the warm front
   roughly along/just north of the NC/VA border, with surface dewpoints
   up to 70 F along the immediate warm side of the front, contributing
   to 2000+ J/kg MLCAPE. The 2109Z AKQ VAD profiler depicts a modestly
   curved 0-3 km hodograph (and associated 300 m2/s2 SRH). However, the
   hodograph shortens considerably above 3 km, suggesting that storms
   may struggle to maintain higher-end organization due to lack of
   airmass ventilation towards the top of the storms. Nonetheless, the
   ample buoyancy in place will still promote brief but robust updraft
   pulses capable of producing strong to severe gusts and marginally
   severe hail. The more dominant, discrete storms that can interact
   favorably with the warm front will have the greatest chance at
   producing a tornado.

   ..Squitieri.. 05/06/2022

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...LWX...RAH...RNK...GSP...

   LAT...LON   36468054 37247974 37737868 37897732 37387655 36597604
               35917609 35367668 35187747 35367871 35517953 35808041
               36468054