Mesoscale Discussion 0608
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0117 PM CDT Sun May 01 2022

   Areas affected...parts of southern AL into western GA

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 011817Z - 012045Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...A few instances of large hail and locally strong gusts are
   possible this afternoon. Watch issuance is not expected.

   DISCUSSION...Latest regional radar imagery shows a couple loosely
   organized convective clusters spreading slowly eastward across parts
   of southern AL into western GA. This activity appears to be focused
   along an E-W oriented differential mixing boundary, which is evident
   via a low-level lapse rate gradient per the latest mesoanalysis. As
   continued diurnal destabilization of a moist (upper 60s dewpoints)
   airmass continues beneath modestly steep midlevel lapse rates,
   sporadic large hail and locally strong gusts will be possible with
   any loosely organized convective clusters. VWP data from MXX depicts
   modest deep-layer flow/shear (0-6 km bulk shear near 25-30 knots),
   which should generally limit the overall threat, precluding the need
   for a watch.

   ..Weinman/Hart.. 05/01/2022

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...

   LAT...LON   31978765 32578724 32778620 32868536 32978485 33068449
               33148407 33158358 32748333 31958347 31498389 31308489
               31148658 31218727 31658765 31978765