Mesoscale Discussion 0567
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1259 PM CDT Tue Apr 26 2022

   Areas affected...portions of the central Carolinas and far eastern
   georgia.

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 261759Z - 262000Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...Several clusters of storms ahead of a cold front may pose
   a brief risk for damaging wind gusts/marginally severe hail through
   this afternoon. A weather watch is not anticipated.

   DISCUSSION...Afternoon radar and satellite imagery showed several
   cluster of thunderstorms developing ahead of a cold front across the
   southern Appalachians and Carolinas. To the east of the front,
   copious diurnal heating is supporting a warm airmass with
   temperatures in the mid 80s F. Strong mixing has lowered surface
   dewpoints into the upper 50s to near 60 F, but surface moisture
   remains sufficient to support 500-1000 J/kg of MLCAPE. Relatively
   modest mid-level flow flow will likely keep shear profiles weak with
   EBWDs of 15-25 kt. While the potential for widespread storm
   organization appears low, the buoyancy/shear overlap may support a
   few stronger multi-cell clusters capable of damaging outflow winds
   and or marginally severe hail through this afternoon. Given the
   relatively limited potential for storm organization, a weather watch
   will likely not be needed.

   ..Lyons/Guyer.. 04/26/2022

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...CHS...CAE...GSP...FFC...

   LAT...LON   33468251 35138124 35808077 36168036 36278007 36507927
               36447863 36317826 36037797 35547797 35067810 34577849
               34107905 33458022 33158084 32848194 32838242 33098268
               33468251