Mesoscale Discussion 0415
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0322 PM CDT Tue Apr 05 2022

   Areas affected...Portions of east-central GA into SC

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 96...98...

   Valid 052022Z - 052145Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 96, 98 continues.

   SUMMARY...The greatest threat for strong tornadoes should focus
   across parts of east-central Georgia into South Carolina over the
   next 1-2 hours.

   DISCUSSION...Multiple tornadic circulations with TDS markers have
   recently been observed from the KJGX radar with a broken line of
   storms in central GA. A separate TDS and very strong low-level
   rotation was also noted earlier with a supercell over Allendale
   County SC. The core of a 40-50 kt south-southwesterly low-level jet
   overlies this region, and ample low-level shear is present to
   support updraft rotation and tornado potential. The northern extent
   of the surface-based thunderstorm and substantial tornado threat
   will likely be constrained by a surface warm front that is draped
   southwest to northeast across central SC. The presence of mid to
   upper 60s and even some low 70s surface dewpoints with filtered
   diurnal heating is supporting MLCAPE from 500-1000 J/kg, which is
   more than sufficient for surface-based convection. The threat for
   strong tornadoes in the next 1-2 hours will likely be greatest with
   any supercells that can mature ahead of the line across east-central
   GA into parts of central/coastal SC. Embedded tornadoes within the
   line may also be capable of becoming strong given 300-400 m2/s2 of
   0-1 km SRH per recent VWPs from KJGX and KCLX.

   ..Gleason.. 04/05/2022

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...TAE...

   LAT...LON   32438331 33038323 33398195 33538117 33558027 33148001
               32868033 31878136 31178246 31868337 32108356 32438331