Mesoscale Discussion 0126
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0729 PM CST Thu Feb 03 2022
Areas affected...Central New England
Concerning...Winter mixed precipitation
Valid 040129Z - 040530Z
SUMMARY...A wintry mix of sleet, freezing rain, and snow will
continue across parts of central to western New England over the
next several hours.
DISCUSSION...Latest 01Z surface observations show the freezing line
draped from northern PA, through southern NY, and into VT/NH. The
freezing line has crept south slowly over the past 2 hours in tandem
with the synoptic quasi-stationary boundary, and is expected to
continue to drag south through Friday morning. However, temperatures
ahead of the front have warmed slightly over the past hour, hinting
that the southward progression of the freezing line may be slower
than depicted by recent guidance. Regional radar mosaics show a
broad swath of precipitation moving northeastward into the region,
driven primarily by warm advection within a mid-level baroclinic
zone. This forcing is forecast to persist over the coming hours, and
given the persistent warm nose aloft (as sampled by the 00Z ALB
sounding and recently noted in CC data from KBGM), a wintry mix of
sleet and freezing rain will continue well into the night. Freezing
rain accumulation up to 0.1 inch per hour may be possible for
locations that linger in the narrow transition zone.
..Moore.. 02/04/2022
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...ALY...BGM...BUF...CTP...PBZ...
LAT...LON 41307912 41737912 41987855 42267704 42607543 43017419
43787304 44357199 44557091 43957067 43637186 43387237
42677276 42217345 41907473 41407678 41177763 41077831
41157879 41307912
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