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Mesoscale Discussion 1078 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1078
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0303 PM CDT Thu Jun 24 2021
Areas affected...northwest and north-central WI
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible
Valid 242003Z - 242130Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent
SUMMARY...Storms will likely continue to develop over the next 1-2
hours along the front. The stronger storms will be capable of a
risk for large hail and isolated damaging gusts.
DISCUSSION...Visible-satellite imagery shows convection developing
on the cold front over northwest WI. Considerable cloudiness has
limited heating over southern WI and much of central WI where
temperatures are in the 60s to lower 70s deg F. However, cloud
breaks over west-central WI has led to temperatures warming into the
upper 70s over north-central WI to the upper 80s near La Crosse.
Forecast soundings over northwest into north-central WI show
moderate buoyancy with adequate deep-layer shear for organized
storms. Several stronger storms will likely be capable of at least
some risk for large hail and damaging gusts. As this activity moves
east this evening into northeast WI, the combination of the loss of
heating and a cooler boundary layer, will probably result in storms
weakening by mid evening.
..Smith/Hart.. 06/24/2021
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...GRB...DLH...ARX...MPX...
LAT...LON 45249179 45509079 45308998 44718994 44399036 44349124
44569197 44809223 45249179
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