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Mesoscale Discussion 1078
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1078
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0303 PM CDT Thu Jun 24 2021

   Areas affected...northwest and north-central WI

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

   Valid 242003Z - 242130Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

   SUMMARY...Storms will likely continue to develop over the next 1-2
   hours along the front.  The stronger storms will be capable of a
   risk for large hail and isolated damaging gusts.

   DISCUSSION...Visible-satellite imagery shows convection developing
   on the cold front over northwest WI.  Considerable cloudiness has
   limited heating over southern WI and much of central WI where
   temperatures are in the 60s to lower 70s deg F.  However, cloud
   breaks over west-central WI has led to temperatures warming into the
   upper 70s over north-central WI to the upper 80s near La Crosse.

   Forecast soundings over northwest into north-central WI show
   moderate buoyancy with adequate deep-layer shear for organized
   storms.  Several stronger storms will likely be capable of at least
   some risk for large hail and damaging gusts.  As this activity moves
   east this evening into northeast WI, the combination of the loss of
   heating and a cooler boundary layer, will probably result in storms
   weakening by mid evening.

   ..Smith/Hart.. 06/24/2021

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...GRB...DLH...ARX...MPX...

   LAT...LON   45249179 45509079 45308998 44718994 44399036 44349124
               44569197 44809223 45249179 

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