Mesoscale Discussion 1229
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0418 AM CDT Mon Jun 24 2019

   Areas affected...Much of MS

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 240918Z - 241115Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Isolated damaging wind gusts are possible as a weakening
   convective line moves across MS.

   DISCUSSION...Expansive convective line extends from northern MS
   southward across western MS and then back southwestward across
   central LA into central TX. North-south orientation of the line
   moving through western MS is aligned more favorably to the
   deep-shear vector than areas across LA or TX. Moderate low-level
   flow has also been gradually strengthening ahead of this line with
   the VAD profile from DGX now sampling 45 kt of southwesterly winds
   at 1 km. These factors have resulting in some localized surges
   within the line and a few strong wind gusts. A gust of 42 kt
   reported at HEZ as the line move through. 

   Radar reflectivity trends suggest the line is weakening as it moves
   eastward. Even so, isolated damaging wind gusts will remain possible
   with this line as it continues eastward across much of MS. Marginal
   nature of the severe threat and overall weakening trend are expected
   to preclude the need for a watch.

   ..Mosier/Edwards.. 06/24/2019

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LIX...

   LAT...LON   32769071 33769004 33718863 32568868 30858956 30809120
               31229156 31969112 32769071