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Mesoscale Discussion 442 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 0442
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0524 AM CDT Thu Apr 25 2019
Areas affected...Central/Southern LA...Far Southeast TX
Concerning...Tornado Watch 100...
Valid 251024Z - 251130Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 100 continues.
SUMMARY...Threat for damaging wind gusts and a tornado or two
continues across far southeast TX and central/southern LA. This
threat will likely extend past 11Z and a local watch extension may
be needed.
DISCUSSION...Multicellular storms along and just ahead of an
eastward moving cold front have gradually intensified over the past
hour with several now exhibiting supercellular characteristics. 06Z
LCH sounding sampled a very moist and moderately unstable airmass
amidst strong deep-layer shear. Wind speeds aloft have increased
since that time, with the KPOE VAD wind profile now showing winds
over 60 kt at 5kft. This favorable environment will likely lead to
the persistence of the ongoing storms, with at least some potential
for the development into another convective line like the one
farther north in central MS (discussed in MCD 441). Given that the
threat will likely extend pass the watch expiration time of 11Z, a
local extension in time and perhaps area may be required.
..Mosier.. 04/25/2019
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...
LAT...LON 31129423 32009353 32289260 31889204 30289231 30079414
31129423
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