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Mesoscale Discussion 285 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 0285
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0511 AM CDT Mon Apr 08 2019
Areas affected...western FL Panhandle into far southeast AL
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 081011Z - 081145Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent
SUMMARY...A few strong wind gusts are possible, mainly across
Okaloosa and Walton Counties in the FL Panhandle over the next hour
as a bowing line segment moves inland. The overall threat is
expected to remain marginal and a watch is not anticipated.
DISCUSSION...A bowing line segment has intensified over the Gulf,
just offshore from Okaloosa County FL. As the bow tracks northeast
at around 40 mph early this morning, a few strong wind gusts around
40-50 mph will be possible. Based on latest velocity data from KEVX,
low level inhibition is likely reducing severe wind potential as
velocity continues to decrease as the bow moves inland closer to the
radar. Additional weakening with time is expected due to weak
instability and a strengthening low level inversion away from the
immediate coast. The strongest gusts will likely remain confined to
areas closer to the coast for this reason. Given the marginal nature
of the threat, a watch is not expected.
..Leitman/Thompson.. 04/08/2019
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...
LAT...LON 30378680 30898666 31258613 31378579 31328546 31048523
30648533 30288563 30168598 30278630 30378680
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