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Mesoscale Discussion 285
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0285
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0511 AM CDT Mon Apr 08 2019

   Areas affected...western FL Panhandle into far southeast AL

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 081011Z - 081145Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...A few strong wind gusts are possible, mainly across
   Okaloosa and Walton Counties in the FL Panhandle over the next hour
   as a bowing line segment moves inland. The overall threat is
   expected to remain marginal and a watch is not anticipated.

   DISCUSSION...A bowing line segment has intensified over the Gulf,
   just offshore from Okaloosa County FL. As the bow tracks northeast
   at around 40 mph early this morning, a few strong wind gusts around
   40-50 mph will be possible. Based on latest velocity data from KEVX,
   low level inhibition is likely reducing severe wind potential as
   velocity continues to decrease as the bow moves inland closer to the
   radar. Additional weakening with time is expected due to weak
   instability and a strengthening low level inversion away from the
   immediate coast. The strongest gusts will likely remain confined to
   areas closer to the coast for this reason. Given the marginal nature
   of the threat, a watch is not expected.

   ..Leitman/Thompson.. 04/08/2019

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...

   LAT...LON   30378680 30898666 31258613 31378579 31328546 31048523
               30648533 30288563 30168598 30278630 30378680 

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