Mesoscale Discussion 0181
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0517 PM CDT Tue Mar 12 2019

   Areas affected...Southeast NM

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 17...

   Valid 122217Z - 130015Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 17 continues.

   SUMMARY...An intensifying line of thunderstorms will pose a risk for
   damaging winds across parts of southeast NM and far West TX this
   afternoon.

   DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a line of intense convection
   extending across eastern Otero and extreme western Chaves counties
   of southeast NM.  These storms have formed along a very strong
   Pacific cold front, where 2-hour surface pressure falls of 5+ mb are
   noted.  The convection has begun to accelerate eastward, with
   individual components now moving at over 45 knots to the northeast. 
   Strong forcing along the front, steepening low-level lapse rates
   ahead of the storms, and favorable low-level winds shown on local
   VAD and forecast sounding data support an increasing risk of
   damaging winds along the line.  The main limiting factor will be the
   residual cool layer near the surface which may reduce the strength
   of wind gusts at the ground.  However, These storms will also be
   moving off the Sacramento mountains into a more moist boundary-layer
   which may help to offset the near-ground stable layer.

   ..Hart.. 03/12/2019

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MAF...ABQ...EPZ...

   LAT...LON   31840524 32430534 33360555 33800408 33310374 31890365
               30970539 31840524