ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 110006 
SPC MCD 110006 
NEZ000-KSZ000-COZ000-110200-

Mesoscale Discussion 0382
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0706 PM CDT Thu May 10 2018

Areas affected...eastern CO... far northwest KS... and far southwest
NE

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

Valid 110006Z - 110200Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...An isolated threat for large hail and damaging winds
exists the next few hours... watch issuance unlikely.

DISCUSSION...Isolated severe storms have developed across portions
of eastern CO in response to diurnal heating and low-level upslope
flow. Despite moving into an environment with MLCAPE of 1500-2000
J/kg and effective bulk shear of 40-50 kt, a strong capping
inversion should help limit the overall coverage, and eventually,
intensity of these storms. Thus, an isolated threat for large hail
and damaging winds will remain possible for the next few hours,
however, issuance of a severe thunderstorm watch is not currently
expected.

..Karstens/Guyer.. 05/11/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LBF...GLD...BOU...

LAT...LON   38880382 39390385 40040350 40400284 40340135 39250160
            38680273 38880382 

NNNN