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Mesoscale Discussion 1909 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1909
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0633 PM CST Sun Dec 25 2016
Areas affected...much of western and central ND into western SD
Concerning...Heavy snow
Valid 260033Z - 260630Z
SUMMARY...Heavy snow and blizzard conditions will continue tonight
across western South Dakota into western and central ND.
DISCUSSION...Heavy snow, with rates near 1 in/hr and blizzard
conditions at times, will continue for several hours tonight on the
cold side of the northeastward advancing surface cyclone and
mid-to-upper level shortwave trough over the central Plains. Point
forecast soundings maintain a deep saturated vertical profile with
strong forcing for ascent associated with the northeastward ejecting
central Plains trough through at least 06z. During this time,
dendritic growth zone depth greater than 10 kft will be favorable
for efficient snow production and snowfall rates could exceed 1
in/hr for brief period. Furthermore, surface wind speeds will
increase in the 03-06z time frame from southwest to northeast across
the MCD area to around 20-30 mph with gusts as high as 50 mph
possible from western SD into central ND, creating blizzard
conditions.
..Leitman.. 12/26/2016
ATTN...WFO...FGF...ABR...BIS...UNR...
LAT...LON 49269849 49139739 48939714 48619725 46879985 46320043
45240119 44370167 43900221 43680269 43780376 44290406
46660374 47410353 47920336 48440296 48910225 49190125
49300000 49269849
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