ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 180002 
SPC MCD 180002 
NEZ000-KSZ000-COZ000-180400-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1815
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0602 PM CST THU NOV 17 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR NORTHEASTERN CO...EXTREME NORTHWESTERN
KS...SOUTHWEST NEB

CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW 

VALID 180002Z - 180400Z

SUMMARY...SNOWFALL RATES AROUND 1 INCH PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
THE REGION FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

DISCUSSION...SURFACE OBSERVATION AT HEQ /IN FAR NORTHEAST CO/
RECENTLY STARTED REPORTING HEAVY SNOW AND SYF /IN FAR NORTHWEST KS/
RECENTLY REPORTED MODERATE SNOW...WITH BOTH STATIONS EXPERIENCING A 3
DEGREE DROP IN THE SURFACE TEMPERATURE OVER THE PAST HOUR. THESE
OBSERVATIONS CONFIRM THE WET-BULBING SUGGESTED BY RECENT RAP
SOUNDINGS. FRONTOGENETIC FORCING IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS THIS
REGION FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH PIVOTS
NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE PLAINS AND THE RESULTING LIFT AND COLUMN
COOLING ARE EXPECTED TO SUPPORT A CONTINUED TRANSITION FROM RAIN TO
MODERATE/HEAVY SNOW. GIVEN THE STRENGTH AND LOCATION OF THE
STRONGEST FORCING FOR ASCENT...SNOWFALL RATES AROUND 1 INCH PER HOUR
ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

..MOSIER/NONE.. 11/18/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LBF...GLD...BOU...CYS...

LAT...LON   40300346 41770193 41370012 40370078 39250201 39730274
            40300346 

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