ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 172256 
SPC MCD 172256 
TXZ000-NMZ000-180100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1712
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0556 PM CDT SAT SEP 17 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NM AND W TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 480...

VALID 172256Z - 180100Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 480
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...ISOLATED SEVERE RISK CONTINUES ACROSS THE WW AREA.

DISCUSSION...CURRENT RADAR LOOP REVEALS A GRADUAL INCREASE IN STORM
COVERAGE OVER THE PAST HOUR OR SO ACROSS PORTIONS OF SERN NM AND
ADJACENT WRN TX...IN AND NEAR WW 480.  ISOLATED SEVERE RISK
PERSISTS...AS MODERATE CAPE IN CONJUNCTION WITH VEERING/INCREASING
FLOW WITH HEIGHT OBSERVED ACROSS THE AREA REMAINS SUPPORTIVE OF
ORGANIZED/ROTATING STORMS.  WHILE GREATEST SEVERE RISK SHOULD REMAIN
WITHIN THE WW AREA OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...SOME POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS MAY SPREAD E OF THE WW LATER THIS EVENING
/WITH SOME POTENTIAL FOR UPSCALE GROWTH INTO AN ESEWD-MOVING MCS/. 
WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION ACROSS THE
TRANSPECOS/PERMIAN BASIN REGIONS OF W TX AS THE EVENING WEARS
ON...AS THE NEED ADDITIONAL WW ISSUANCE OF OF WATCH 480 REMAINS
UNCERTAIN ATTM.

..GOSS.. 09/17/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SJT...LUB...MAF...ABQ...EPZ...

LAT...LON   34170331 33420181 32160096 31510063 30930112 30100265
            30510468 31030525 31910476 32640486 33150509 34000461
            34170331 

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