ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 020905 
SPC MCD 020905 
NCZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-021130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1619
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0405 AM CDT FRI SEP 02 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN FL THROUGH SERN GA...ERN SC AND EXTREME SERN NC

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 461...

VALID 020905Z - 021130Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 461 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...PRIMARY AREA OF CONCERN FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES IS EXPECTED
TO EVOLVE FROM SERN GA INTO ERN SC AND SERN NC THROUGH THE MORNING.
THEREFORE...TORNADO WATCH 461 WILL NEED TO BE REPLACED BY ANOTHER
TORNADO WATCH BY 1130Z THAT WILL ONLY INCLUDE SERN GA...ERN SC AND
POSSIBLY SERN NC.

DISCUSSION...AS OF 4 AM THIS MORNING THE CENTER OF TS HERMINE WAS
LOCATED NEAR THE CNTRL GA/FL STATE LINE...AND IS FORECAST BY NHC TO
CONTINUE A GENERALLY NEWD MOTION THROUGH THIS MORNING. GREATEST
TORNADO RISK WILL REMAIN E AND NE OF THE CENTER FROM SERN GA THROUGH
ERN SC THIS MORNING. DISCRETE SUPERCELLS CONTINUE DEVELOPING OVER
THE WARM GULF STREAM WATERS JUST OFF THE COAST OF GA AND SC AND ARE
MOVING NNWWD. MEANWHILE...A COASTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDS FROM SERN GA
NEWD TO ALONG THE SC COAST...AND THIS BOUNDARY MAY MOVE A LITTLE
FARTHER INLAND AS HERMINE ADVANCES NEWD. THE TORNADO THREAT WILL BE
MAXIMIZED AS DISCRETE STORMS MOVE INLAND AND INTERACT WITH THIS
BOUNDARY. INITIAL THREAT OVER SERN GA AND COASTAL SC WILL EXPAND
INTO SERN NC TOWARD MID-DAY AS STRONGER LOW-LEVEL SHEAR AND
CONVERGENCE BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH HERMINE GRADUALLY DEVELOP NEWD.

..DIAL/THOMPSON.. 09/02/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ILM...CHS...CAE...

LAT...LON   32897879 32077968 31268117 32518200 33278039 34407914
            33897823 32897879 

NNNN