ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 250248 
SPC MCD 250248 
OHZ000-INZ000-250445-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1587
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0948 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR EAST-CENTRAL INDIANA INTO CENTRAL OH

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

VALID 250248Z - 250445Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT

SUMMARY...A FEW STRONGER STORMS CANNOT BE RULED OUT THROUGH LATE
EVENING ACROSS FAR EAST-CENTRAL INDIANA...AND MAY PERSIST INTO THE
EARLY OVERNIGHT PERIOD ACROSS WEST-CENTRAL OH...POSSIBLY REACHING
CENTRAL OH LATER TONIGHT.  SEVERE-WEATHER THREAT IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN QUITE LOW...PRECLUDING THE NEED FOR ANY ADDITIONAL WATCHES IN
THIS REGION.

DISCUSSION...ALTHOUGH SURFACE INHIBITION CONTINUES TO INCREASE
ACROSS OH INTO INDIANA...FORCING FOR ASCENT ATTENDANT TO AN
EASTWARD-MOVING MCV ENTERING NORTHWEST OH APPEARS TO BE SUPPORTING
NEW SUSTAINED UPDRAFTS FROM FAR EAST-CENTRAL INDIANA THROUGH
WEST-CENTRAL OH.  TRENDS IN IR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED COOLING
CLOUD TOPS WITH THE STORMS EXTENDING FROM RANDOLPH COUNTY INDIANA TO
HARDIN AND WYANDOT COUNTIES OHIO.  THE INFLUENCE OF THIS MIDLEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER AND A 30-35-KT WEST/SOUTHWESTERLY LOW-LEVEL JET
EXTENDING INTO WEST-CENTRAL/SOUTHWEST OH RESULTING IN AN INFLUX OF
MODERATE INSTABILITY INTO THESE ONGOING STORMS SHOULD SUSTAIN
ACTIVITY.  WEAKER BULK SHEAR SHOULD LIMIT THE SEVERE-WEATHER THREAT
WITH THESE STORMS AS THEY MOVE THROUGH WEST-CENTRAL TO CENTRAL OH.

..PETERS/THOMPSON.. 08/25/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...IWX...IND...

LAT...LON   40358551 40468444 41008360 41378334 41478310 41298283
            40458304 40158317 40028341 39958421 40018525 40358551 

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