ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 151238 
SPC MCD 151238 
TXZ000-151445-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1288
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0738 AM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

VALID 151238Z - 151445Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

SUMMARY...AN ISOLATED STORM CAPABLE OF HAIL AND WIND MAY PERSIST
THIS MORNING ACROSS N TX.

DISCUSSION...A CONVECTIVELY INDUCED LOW OR MCV APPEARS TO BE
ENHANCING THUNDERSTORMS OVER N TX THIS MORNING WITH EVIDENCE OF HAIL
AND WIND. THE 12Z SOUNDING FROM FWD SHOWED GOOD LAPSE RATES ALOFT
AND INSTABILITY BUT A DISTINCT LACK OF SHEAR. THE WRN CELL MAY
PERSIST FOR 1-2 HRS AS IT TURNS SEWD TOWARD THE FT. WORTH AREA LATER
THIS MORNING. DUE TO THE ISOLATED NATURE OF THE THREAT...A WATCH IS
NOT EXPECTED.

..JEWELL/GUYER.. 07/15/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...

LAT...LON   32539630 32569726 32819765 33299803 33579788 33559627
            33299568 32849553 32559563 32539630 

NNNN