ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 150124 
SPC MCD 150124 
MSZ000-LAZ000-ARZ000-150300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1282
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0824 PM CDT THU JUL 14 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL THROUGH NRN MS AND NERN LA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 387...

VALID 150124Z - 150300Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 387
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THREAT FOR MAINLY DAMAGING WIND WILL PERSIST INTO LATE
EVENING AS STORMS CONTINUE THROUGH CNTRL AND NRN MS. STORMS MIGHT
UNDERGO SOME INTENSIFICATION OVER WCNTRL MS AND NERN LA BETWEEN
0130Z-03Z...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL WEAKENING.

DISCUSSION...AS OF MID-EVENING A SQUALL LINE WITH A TRAILING
STRATIFORM REGION EXTENDS FROM NERN LA NEWD ALONG THE AR/MS STATE
LINE AND IS MOVING SEWD AT 40-45 KT. OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS INDICATES A
NARROW CORRIDOR OF MODERATE INSTABILITY /2500 J/KG/ MLCAPE REMAINING
FROM NERN LA TO WCNTRL MS. MOREOVER...A WSW-ENE ORIENTED OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY LOCATED JUST NORTH OF THE JACKSON MS AREA IS MOVING NWWD
AND WILL EVENTUALLY MERGE WITH THE SEWD-ADVANCING SQUALL LINE DURING
THE NEXT HOUR. STORMS WITHIN THE LINE SHOULD UNDERGO INTENSIFICATION
AS THE MERGERS OCCUR FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL WEAKENING LATER THIS
EVENING.

..DIAL.. 07/15/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...

LAT...LON   32429179 33519075 33689019 33158997 32329125 32429179 

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