ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 120209 
SPC MCD 120209 
WIZ000-MNZ000-120315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1254
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0909 PM CDT MON JUL 11 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL MN

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 374...

VALID 120209Z - 120315Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 374 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THE POTENTIAL FOR A BRIEF TORNADO...STRONG WIND
GUSTS...AND MARGINALLY SVR HAIL CONTINUES WITH DEVELOPING TSTMS
ALONG/S OF A STALLED FRONT ACROSS CNTRL MN. THESE THREATS SHOULD
GRADUALLY DECREASE THROUGH 03Z...AND A NEW WW IS NOT CURRENTLY
ANTICIPATED.

DISCUSSION...LATEST SFC OBS SHOW A WARM FRONT HAS NEARLY STALLED
ACROSS CNTRL MN...AS PERSISTENT AREA OF CONVECTION HAS REINFORCED
COOL TEMPERATURES/OUTFLOW TO THE N. MORE RECENTLY...DEVELOPING TSTMS
ACROSS CNTRL MN HAVE OCCASIONALLY EXHIBITED ROTATION...AND A TORNADO
OR TWO REMAIN POSSIBLE GIVEN STRONG LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELDS OBSERVED
IN MPX VWP DATA. HOWEVER...TSTMS ARE DEVELOPING NEAR THE STALLED
FRONT AND QUICKLY BECOMING ELEVATED AS THEY MOVE NWD...WITH A
LIMITED SPATIOTEMPORAL WINDOW FOR A TORNADO THREAT. RECENT
CONVECTIVE TRENDS SUGGEST THIS THREAT WILL BE CONFINED TO ERN
PORTIONS OF TORNADO WATCH 374 /N OF THE MINNEAPOLIS AREA/ FOR THE
NEXT HR OR SO...BUT WITH HEAVY RAIN BECOMING THE DOMINANT THREAT...A
NEW WW IS NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED.

..ROGERS.. 07/12/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...

LAT...LON   45749280 45269291 45129375 45289466 45589471 45689394
            45779310 45749280 

NNNN