ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 112217 
SPC MCD 112217 
WIZ000-MNZ000-112315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1250
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0517 PM CDT MON JUL 11 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL MN...NWRN WI

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 372...

VALID 112217Z - 112315Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 372
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...TSTMS DEVELOPING NEAR A WARM FRONT ACROSS CNTRL MN INTO
NWRN WI MAY POSE A LOCALIZED TORNADO THREAT...AND TRENDS ARE BEING
MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE SMALL TORNADO WATCH ACROSS THESE AREAS.

DISCUSSION...RECENT RADAR TRENDS SHOW ISOLATED TSTMS DEVELOPING NEAR
A WARM FRONT POSITIONED ACROSS CNTRL MN INTO NWRN WI...WITH A
SUPERCELL NOW APPARENT ACROSS CHISAGO COUNTY MN ATTEMPTING TO BECOME
ANCHORED ALONG THE BOUNDARY. SFC OBS SHOW THE MOST RAPID NWD
MOVEMENT OF THE WARM FRONT IS OCCURRING ACROSS NWRN WI...WHILE
OUTFLOW/PRECIPITATION ACROSS PARTS OF NRN/CNTRL MN IS REINFORCING
COOLER AIR MORE EFFECTIVELY N OF THE BOUNDARY. VWP DATA FROM MPX
SAMPLED STRONG LOW-LEVEL FLOW SUPPORTING A CURVED HODOGRAPH IN THE
LOWEST SEVERAL KM AGL...AND AUGMENTING THE SFC WIND PROFILE FOR ELY
WINDS N OF THE BOUNDARY WILL BE FAVORABLE KINEMATICALLY FOR A
TORNADO THREAT. TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR ISSUANCE OF A SMALL
TORNADO WATCH FOR PARTS OF CNTRL MN INTO NWRN WI...AND THIS MAY
REPLACE PORTIONS OF SVR TSTM WATCH 372.

..ROGERS/HART.. 07/11/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...

LAT...LON   45809348 46309239 46219140 45889125 45459209 44929350
            44849446 44909529 45239536 45509529 45809348 

NNNN