ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 111902 
SPC MCD 111902 
GAZ000-ALZ000-112100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1247
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0202 PM CDT MON JUL 11 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SOUTHEASTERN AL AND SOUTHWESTERN GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

VALID 111902Z - 112100Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT

SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE CAPABLE OF ISOLATED
STRONG/MARGINALLY SEVERE GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON. STORMS SHOULD
GENERALLY REMAIN UNORGANIZED THOUGH...PRECLUDING WATCH ISSUANCE.

DISCUSSION...CLUSTERS OF STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE STORMS ARE
SLOWLY PROGRESSING NORTH/NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN
AL/GA THIS AFTERNOON...AIDED BY LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE ALONG A SEA
BREEZE AND MULTIPLE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES. WITH NO CONVECTIVE
INHIBITION PRESENT...CONTINUED STORM/OUTFLOW MERGERS SHOULD PROMOTE
NEW CONVECTION...WITH AN OVERALL MOVEMENT OF THE CLUSTERS TO THE
NORTHEAST. WEAK TROPOSPHERIC FLOW AND UNIMPRESSIVE MID-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES WILL LIMIT THE OVERALL THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS.
HOWEVER...SFC TEMPS IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S...ALONG WITH AMPLE
MOISTURE /E.G. PW VALUES AROUND 1.75-2 INCHES/...WILL FAVOR
OCCASIONAL WET DOWNBURSTS THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING.

..PICCA/THOMPSON.. 07/11/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...

LAT...LON   31298358 30918429 31008485 31628559 31868624 31748686
            31928719 32548683 33038625 33888539 33958429 33338327
            31958325 31298358 

NNNN