ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 072330 
SPC MCD 072330 
IAZ000-MOZ000-NEZ000-080130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1196
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0630 PM CDT THU JUL 07 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NEB...MUCH OF IA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 351...

VALID 072330Z - 080130Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 351
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...A FEW SEVERE STORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WATCH AREA
FOR A FEW MORE HOURS WITH MARGINAL HAIL AND WIND.

DISCUSSION...STORMS HAVE GENERALLY SHOWN WEAKENING TREND OVER THE
PAST HOUR EXCEPT FOR ACTIVITY OVER SWRN IA. SFC WINDS REMAIN WEAK
EXCEPT FOR NEAR THE COLD FRONT WITH STORMS AHEAD OF THE FRONT BEING
SUPPORTED MAINLY BY STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND GOOD MID TO
UPPER LEVEL SHEAR. AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER COOLS...INSTABILITY WILL
WEAKEN A BIT. SOME ADDITIONAL STORM ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE
COLD FRONT AS IT SURGES EWD LATER THIS EVENING...BUT LACK OF ANY
SUBSTANTIAL LOW-LEVEL JET SUGGESTS LOW SEVERE CHANCES INTO THE
EVENING.

..JEWELL.. 07/07/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DVN...ARX...DMX...EAX...OAX...

LAT...LON   43299152 42019223 40949362 40419586 40519637 40989645
            41949520 43189395 43279353 43469306 43459188 43299152 

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