ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 071942 
SPC MCD 071942 
VAZ000-NCZ000-SCZ000-072045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1190
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0242 PM CDT THU JUL 07 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN VA...ERN NC...SC

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

VALID 071942Z - 072045Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

SUMMARY...GUSTY WINDS WILL BE NOTED WITH A FEW STRONG STORMS THIS
AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...STRONG BOUNDARY-LAYER HEATING HAS CONTRIBUTED TO MODEST
BUOYANCY FROM SERN VA INTO SC THIS AFTERNOON WHERE SFC TEMPERATURES
HAVE WARMED INTO THE LOWER 90S.  OVER THE LAST HOUR OR SO...ISOLATED
STRONG STORMS HAVE FORMED ALONG LEADING EDGE OF THICKER CLOUD CANOPY
AHEAD OF WEAK SHORT-WAVE TROUGH.  THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD PROPAGATE
INTO REGIONS WHERE LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE RELATIVELY STEEP...ON
THE ORDER OF 8 C/KM.  GUSTY WINDS ARE THE MAIN THREAT WITH THESE
STORMS.

..DARROW/CORFIDI.. 07/07/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...CAE...GSP...

LAT...LON   34248155 35068002 37077861 37047756 35437759 33807975
            34248155 

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