ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 061823 
SPC MCD 061823 
NDZ000-SDZ000-MTZ000-061930-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1168
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0123 PM CDT WED JUL 06 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN MT...SWRN ND...NWRN SD

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

VALID 061823Z - 061930Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

SUMMARY...ISOLATED LARGE HAIL MAY ACCOMPANY CONVECTION AS IT SPREADS
SEWD ACROSS SERN MT.

DISCUSSION...LARGE-SCALE FORCING APPEARS TO BE INCREASING ACROSS ERN
MT AHEAD OF STRONG SHORT-WAVE TROUGH.  CONVECTION IS SLOWLY
INCREASING/INTENSIFYING OVER GARFIELD/NRN ROSEBUD/PRAIRIE COUNTY
REGION AND THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE PROPAGATING SEWD TOWARD A
MORE BUOYANT AIR MASS.  LATEST MRMS DATA SUGGESTS SEVERE HAIL
ACCOMPANIES THE MOST ROBUST UPDRAFTS WITHIN THIS DEVELOPING CLUSTER.
 THERE IS INCREASING CONCERN THAT UPWARD-EVOLVING SMALL COMPLEX OF
STORMS COULD SPREAD INTO SWRN ND/NWRN SD OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

..DARROW/CORFIDI.. 07/06/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BIS...UNR...BYZ...GGW...

LAT...LON   47370497 46700310 45500387 45770552 46570730 47370497 

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