ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 061821 
SPC MCD 061821 
OHZ000-WVZ000-KYZ000-061945-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1167
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0121 PM CDT WED JUL 06 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN OH...NORTHEAST KY...EXTREME WESTERN WV

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

VALID 061821Z - 061945Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

SUMMARY...LOCALLY DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WINDS POSSIBLE AS CONVECTION
RESTRENGTHENS AND MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS OHIO AND NORTHEAST KENTUCKY

DISCUSSION...REMNANT CONVECTION IS RE-INTENSIFYING AHEAD OF
OVERNIGHT CONVECTIVELY GENERATED COLD POOL ALONG AN AXIS FROM
COLUMBUS IN NORTH CENTRAL OHIO SOUTHWARD TO ILN TO NEAR FFT IN
KENTUCKY.  MODERATE INSTABILITY WITH SBCAPE RANGING FROM 2500 TO
3500 J/KG COMBINED WITH DEEP LAYER WESTERLY FLOW AOA 20 KTS WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO LOCALLY INTENSE CONVECTIVE CORES SUPPORTING LOCALLY
DAMAGING WIND THREAT. SOME MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE
WITH MOST INTENSE CONVECTIVE CORES.  ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO
INTENSIFY AND WORK EASTWARD ACROSS THE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION AREA.

..SCHNEIDER/CORFIDI.. 07/06/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...CLE...JKL...ILN...LMK...

LAT...LON   38218467 38818441 39768355 40488346 41028365 41148269
            40948141 40398096 39758108 39038159 38058222 37578288
            37618363 38218467 

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