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Mesoscale Discussion 1160 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1160
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0150 AM CDT WED JUL 06 2016
AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL AND EASTERN KS/SOUTHWEST MO/NORTH-CENTRAL
AND NORTHEAST OK
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY
VALID 060650Z - 060815Z
CORRECTED FOR TYPOS AND AREAS AFFECTED
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT
SUMMARY...A NEW SEVERE TSTM WATCH WILL BE COORDINATED SHORTLY FOR
EASTERN KS AND PERHAPS PARTS OF FAR NORTH-CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST OK.
DISCUSSION...TWO EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD-MOVING BANDS OF STORMS WERE
LOCATED IN CENTRAL KS...EACH WITH THEIR OWN REAR-INFLOW JETS. THESE
JETS ARE DEPICTED BY THE INDIVIDUAL BOWING STRUCTURES OF EACH BAND
OF STORMS AND THE FORMATION OF A WNW-ESE CONVERGENCE ZONE FROM
BARTON TO GOVE COUNTIES KS BETWEEN THESE JETS. A STRENGTHENING SWLY
LLJ /40-45 KT/ FROM OK INTO THESE STORM COMPLEXES AND RESIDUAL
RESERVOIR OF DOWNSTREAM MODERATE-VERY STRONG INSTABILITY SUGGEST
THESE FACTORS WILL SUPPORT A CONTINUED THREAT FOR SEVERE WIND GUSTS
THROUGH 10-12Z. THE TRACK OF THESE BANDS BRINGS THE SEVERE THREAT
INTO FAR SOUTHWEST MO BY 10Z AND INTO NORTH-CENTRAL OR NORTHEAST OK
NEAR THAT SAME TIME.
..PETERS/EDWARDS.. 07/06/2016
ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...DDC...
LAT...LON 39059786 39399759 38939627 38349503 37969445 37219404
36839452 36559530 36569653 36509773 36689846 37089873
37709886 38289924 38519931 38909819 39059786
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