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Mesoscale Discussion 1160
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1160
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0150 AM CDT WED JUL 06 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL AND EASTERN KS/SOUTHWEST MO/NORTH-CENTRAL
   AND NORTHEAST OK

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY 

   VALID 060650Z - 060815Z

   CORRECTED FOR TYPOS AND AREAS AFFECTED

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...A NEW SEVERE TSTM WATCH WILL BE COORDINATED SHORTLY FOR
   EASTERN KS AND PERHAPS PARTS OF FAR NORTH-CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST OK.

   DISCUSSION...TWO EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD-MOVING BANDS OF STORMS WERE
   LOCATED IN CENTRAL KS...EACH WITH THEIR OWN REAR-INFLOW JETS.  THESE
   JETS ARE DEPICTED BY THE INDIVIDUAL BOWING STRUCTURES OF EACH BAND
   OF STORMS AND THE FORMATION OF A WNW-ESE CONVERGENCE ZONE FROM
   BARTON TO GOVE COUNTIES KS BETWEEN THESE JETS.  A STRENGTHENING SWLY
   LLJ /40-45 KT/ FROM OK INTO THESE STORM COMPLEXES AND RESIDUAL
   RESERVOIR OF DOWNSTREAM MODERATE-VERY STRONG INSTABILITY SUGGEST
   THESE FACTORS WILL SUPPORT A CONTINUED THREAT FOR SEVERE WIND GUSTS
   THROUGH 10-12Z. THE TRACK OF THESE BANDS BRINGS THE SEVERE THREAT
   INTO FAR SOUTHWEST MO BY 10Z AND INTO NORTH-CENTRAL OR NORTHEAST OK
   NEAR THAT SAME TIME.

   ..PETERS/EDWARDS.. 07/06/2016


   ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...DDC...

   LAT...LON   39059786 39399759 38939627 38349503 37969445 37219404
               36839452 36559530 36569653 36509773 36689846 37089873
               37709886 38289924 38519931 38909819 39059786 

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