ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 060315 
SPC MCD 060315 
IAZ000-NEZ000-060445-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1156
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1015 PM CDT TUE JUL 05 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...E-CNTRL NEB...W-CNTRL/CNTRL IA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 329...

VALID 060315Z - 060445Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 329
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...TSTM COMPLEX ACROSS E-CNTRL NEB WILL CONTINUE TO POSE AN
ISOLATED WIND/HAIL THREAT AS IT MOVES NEWD. OTHER TSTMS MAY FILL IN
ACROSS CNTRL IA AND TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED HERE FOR A POTENTIAL
WW.

DISCUSSION...RECENT RADAR IMAGERY HAS SHOWN THE TSTM COMPLEX MOVING
ACROSS E-CNTRL NEB HAS BECOMING INCREASINGLY OUTFLOW DOMINANT AND
THAT THE OVERALL STORM STRENGTH HAS DIMINISHED SLIGHTLY.
HOWEVER...TQE -- ALONG THE NEB/IA BORDER -- RECENT REPORTED A 57 KT
GUST AND THE DOWNSTREAM REMAINS VERY UNSTABLE. EXPECTATION IS FOR
THE COMPLEX TO CONTINUE NEWD AS IT GRADUALLY BECOMES MORE
LINEAR...WITH SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT POSSIBLE AS THE OUTFLOW
INTERACTS WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE STRETCHING ACROSS FROM NW/W-CNTRL
IA NEWD TOWARDS THE BOWING LINE ACROSS SE MN AND WAA CONTINUES.
THERE IS SOME CHANCE DEVELOPMENT BETWEEN THESE SYSTEMS CONSOLIDATES
INTO A SINGULAR LINE AS IT MOVES ACROSS IA. SOME LOCALIZED HAIL AND
WIND IS POSSIBLE AND TRENDS ACROSS THE REGION WILL BE MONITORED FOR
A POTENTIAL WATCH. WATCH PROBABILITY IS 60-PERCENT.

..MOSIER/GUYER.. 07/06/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DMX...FSD...OAX...

LAT...LON   41749697 42539533 42859374 42729303 41969325 41339550
            41249672 41749697 

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