ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 052044 
SPC MCD 052044 
KSZ000-NEZ000-052145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1146
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0344 PM CDT TUE JUL 05 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...SCNTRL NEB...NWRN KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

VALID 052044Z - 052145Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

SUMMARY...ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF NWRN
KS INTO SCNTRL NEBRASKA.

DISCUSSION...STRONG SFC HEATING HAS CONTRIBUTED TO A
DEEP...WELL-MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER ACROSS THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS THIS
AFTERNOON.  CONVECTION IS INTENSIFYING ALONG A WIND SHIFT WHERE SFC
TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED TO NEAR 100F.  ROBUST THUNDERSTORMS APPEAR
LIKELY ALONG A CORRIDOR FROM EAST OF GLD TO NEAR EAR BEFORE
PROPAGATING SEWD INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.  GIVEN THE 40-50F
SUB-CLOUD TEMP/DEW POINT SPREADS...DAMAGING DOWNBURSTS APPEAR
POSSIBLE.

..DARROW/CORFIDI.. 07/05/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GID...GLD...

LAT...LON   39980077 40569966 40659895 39999892 39459986 39240084
            39980077 

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