ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 261939 
SPC MCD 261939 
OHZ000-MIZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-262115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1062
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0239 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...E-CNTRL IL...NRN/CNTRL IND...SE LOWER MI...NW OH

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

VALID 261939Z - 262115Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

SUMMARY...A FEW STRONG TO BRIEFLY SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
INTO THIS EVENING. THE MAIN CONCERN WITH STRONGER STORMS WILL BE
LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS.

DISCUSSION...STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG/JUST AHEAD OF
WEAK COLD FRONT DRAPED S/SW THROUGH CENTRAL LOWER MI INTO NW IND AND
CENTRAL IL. DEWPOINTS IN THE 70S AND TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 80S TO
LOW 90S HAS RESULTED IN MLCAPE VALUES GREATER THAN 1500 J/KG.
EFFECTIVE SHEAR IS RATHER WEAK...IN THE 20-35 KT RANGE...BUT WILL BE
SUFFICIENT TO SUSTAIN CLUSTERS AND LINE SEGMENTS. ISOLATED STRONG
WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN WITH THESE STORMS. POOR MIDLEVEL
LAPSE RATES SHOULD LIMIT HAIL THREAT. OVERALL SEVERE THREAT SHOULD
REMAIN BRIEF/SPORADIC AND A WATCH IS NOT EXPECTED.

..LEITMAN/HART.. 06/26/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...DTX...IWX...GRR...IND...LOT...ILX...

LAT...LON   41698630 42338496 42478422 42388358 42088314 41698317
            41158359 40618429 39998541 39528646 39398704 39198796
            39238848 39598901 40118883 40898769 41698630 

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