ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 230651 
SPC MCD 230651 
WVZ000-OHZ000-KYZ000-230745-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1027
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0151 AM CDT THU JUN 23 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...EXTREME SERN OH THROUGH MUCH OF WV

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY 

VALID 230651Z - 230745Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT

SUMMARY...THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE FROM SERN
OH THROUGH WV THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. A WW WILL LIKELY BE
ISSUED FOR THIS REGION BY 730Z.

DISCUSSION...EARLY THIS MORNING A LINE OF SEVERE STORMS EXTENDS FROM
ACROSS SWRN OH MOVING SEWD AT 50 KT. DOWNSTREAM FROM THIS LINE
STORMS CONTINUE WITHIN THE WARM ADVECTION ZONE ACROSS SERN OH INTO
NRN/CNTRL WV. PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO BE WITH FAST
MOVING LINE AS IT CONTINUES SEWD...SUPPORTED BY UNSTABLE INFLOW FROM
A 50+ KT WSWLY LLJ. THERE IS ALSO SOME INDICATION THAT STORMS IN
WARM ADVECTION ZONE ARE TRANSITIONING TO FORWARD PROPAGATING  AND
THESE WILL ALSO POSE A RISK FOR DAMAGING WIND AS WELL AS A TORNADO
OR TWO.

..DIAL/THOMPSON.. 06/23/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RNK...PBZ...RLX...JKL...ILN...

LAT...LON   39688196 39588108 39188040 38578005 38188049 37438143
            37618203 38238301 39078267 39688196 

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