ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 152301 
SPC MCD 152301 
OHZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-160000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0943
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0601 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN IND...SOUTHWESTERN OH...AND
NORTHERN KY

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 258...260...

VALID 152301Z - 160000Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
258...260...CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...DECREASING THREAT FOR SEVERE WIND GUSTS THIS EVENING...AND
NO NEW/DOWNSTREAM WATCH ISSUANCE IS ANTICIPATED.

DISCUSSION...RECENT MRMS DATA DEPICT A CONSIDERABLE DOWNWARD TREND
IN CONVECTION ACROSS MUCH OF WW 260 AND NRN PARTS OF WW 258...AS
STORMS ENCOUNTER A STABLE AIR MASS IN THE WAKE OF A CONVECTIVE
SYSTEM TO THE SOUTH. INDEED...THIS TREND IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE OVER
THE NEXT FEW HOURS. THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR A FEW SEVERE GUSTS
WILL LIKELY BE OVER FAR NORTHERN KY AND SOUTHWESTERN OH...WHERE THE
AIR MASS AHEAD OF A BOWING CLUSTER REMAINS SOMEWHAT MORE PRISTINE.
HERE...STEEPER LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES MAY ENHANCE DOWNDRAFT/COLD POOL
POTENTIAL...MAINTAINING A NARROW WINDOW FOR STRONGER WINDS.
NONETHELESS...EVEN HERE CONVECTION SHOULD GRADUALLY WEAKEN OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS...AND DOWNSTREAM WATCH ISSUANCE IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

..PICCA.. 06/15/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ILN...LMK...IND...PAH...ILX...

LAT...LON   38548803 39468604 40318398 40008355 38558369 38178765
            38548803 

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