ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 141730 
SPC MCD 141730 
NCZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-141900-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0913
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1230 PM CDT TUE JUN 14 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...SC...SRN NC

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

VALID 141730Z - 141900Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

SUMMARY...A THREAT FOR ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS AND SMALL HAIL
WILL ACCOMPANY DEVELOPING TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF SC AND SRN NC THIS
AFTERNOON. A WW IS NOT EXPECTED.

DISCUSSION...A SLOW-MOVING COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL JUST N OF
THE NC-SC BORDER THIS AFTERNOON. RELATIVELY RICHER MOISTURE
POSITIONED TO THE W /PER 12Z SOUNDINGS/ IS SPREADING EWD ACROSS THE
CAROLINAS...ALONG THE NRN PERIPHERY OF A MIDLEVEL ANTICYCLONE
CENTERED OFF THE FL ATLANTIC COAST. WITH SFC TEMPERATURES ALREADY IN
THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S F...AND MLCAPE VALUES APPROACHING 2500
J/KG...TSTM COVERAGE WILL INCREASE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE HRS ALONG/S
OF THE STALLING FRONT. MODEST WLY FLOW ALOFT /I.E. AROUND 20 KT AT
500 MB/ WILL SUPPORT A FEW WEAKLY ORGANIZED MULTICELL
CLUSTERS...WITH A PRIMARY THREAT OF ISOLATED STRONG TO MARGINALLY
SVR DOWNBURST WINDS. SMALL HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE...BUT WARM
TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL BE A LIMITING FACTOR.

..ROGERS/GUYER.. 06/14/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...CAE...GSP...

LAT...LON   35228148 35107959 34897820 34267814 33797877 33717941
            33668038 33628114 33718213 34198265 34768311 34918300
            34938200 35228148 

NNNN