ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 140202 
SPC MCD 140202 
OKZ000-KSZ000-140330-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0907
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0902 PM CDT MON JUN 13 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF SWRN KS AND NWRN OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 253...

VALID 140202Z - 140330Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 253
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...AN MCS CROSSING PARTS OF SWRN KS...THE ERN OK
PANHANDLE...AND THE NERN TX PANHANDLE WILL MOVE INTO/ACROSS WRN
SECTIONS OF THE BODY OF OKLAHOMA IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. A RISK FOR
SVR WIND GUSTS WILL CONTINUE TO ACCOMPANY THIS ACTIVITY.

DISCUSSION...A MEASURED SVR WIND GUST OF 52 KT WAS REPORTED WITH THE
FORWARD-PROPAGATING MCS AS IT CROSSED LIBERAL KANSAS EARLIER. AS THE
LEADING CONVECTIVE LINE PROGRESSES EWD...IT WILL CONTINUE TO
ENCOUNTER WARM/MOIST INFLOW...WITH A LOWEST-100-MB MEAN MIXING RATIO
AROUND 15.5 G/KG SAMPLED BY THE 00Z OUN RAOB. VNX VWP DATA INDICATE
SLIGHTLY STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL SLYS IN THE LAST COUPLE OF
HOURS...THAT WILL LIKELY FACILITATE SOME SWD PROPAGATION OF THE MCS.
THIS SHOULD FOSTER NET MCS MOTION ON MORE OF A ESEWD/SEWD TRACK
ACROSS AS IT ENTERS THE BODY OF OKLAHOMA...WHERE GPS DATA INDICATES
IT WILL ENCOUNTER INCREASING PW. THIS SHOULD SUPPORT CONTINUED MCS
MAINTENANCE WITH A RISK FOR SVR WIND GUSTS CONTINUING. THE SVR RISK
WILL DIMINISH TO NIL BEHIND THE LINE OF TSTMS.

..COHEN.. 06/14/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...GLD...

LAT...LON   35679976 36879979 37200025 37320153 37730176 38400162
            38319964 37579909 35979908 35679976 

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